Florida is a highly developed state, with more than 70% of the population living or working along the state’s 1,197 miles of coastline. These coastal areas have always been threatened by hurricanes and flooding, but in recent years, a much more serious and long-term threat to the coasts has been identified: climate change.
Image: David Schrichte
Imagine a Florida where the coral reefs have dissolved, droughts are the
norm, exotic species outnumber native ones, daily high tides flood the
streets of coastal cities, and people are abandoning multi-million dollar
coastal homes and retreating inland. Climate change has made this
hypothetical a reality for the Sunshine State, with impacts already being
observed.
Florida is a highly developed state, with more than 70% of the population
living or working along the state’s 1,197 miles of coastline. These coastal
areas have always been threatened by hurricanes and flooding, but in recent
years, a much more serious and long-term threat to the coasts has been
identified: climate change.
What is Climate Change?
Climate change is fueled by the rapid release of greenhouse gases (GHGs)
into the Earth’s atmosphere, including carbon dioxide, nitrous oxides, and
methane. These gases trap heat from the sun within our atmosphere. GHGs can
come from both natural and human-generated sources. Throughout Earth’s
history, events such as volcanic eruptions and large meteor impacts have
caused global climate change (including ice ages). These natural events
caused widespread changes to the Earth’s climate and resulted in extinction
of many species.
What is different about our current climate crisis is the speed at which our
climate is changing. These rapid changes are driven by human activities,
including the burning of fossil fuels such as oil, natural gas, and coal.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is comprised of
thousands of independent scientists from across the globe. These scientists
review and consolidate climate change data to make policy decisions using
the best available climate science, and they are not compensated for their
time or contributions. The IPCC, in its most recent report, has concluded
that most of the observed increases in average global temperatures during
the last 50 years are attributable to anthropogenic (human-caused) GHG
emissions. They also stated that the warming of the Earth’s climate is
unequivocal and that the atmosphere and ocean have warmed, snow and ice
amounts have diminished, and sea level has risen.
Increasing air and ocean temperatures cause glaciers at extreme northern and
southern latitudes to melt, which leads to sea level rise. Additionally,
warming water expands and has a greater volume than cold water, which
further contributes to sea level rise. Global ocean temperature will
continue to rise throughout the 21st century, with the greatest amount of
warming projected in the tropical and northern subtropical regions. During
the 20th century, sea level rose by 0.19 m. The IPCC projects that average
sea level may rise as much as 1 meter by 2100 if the concentration of carbon
dioxide in the atmosphere rises above 700 ppm (parts per million). Even if
we were to completely stop GHG emissions today, the effects of our rapidly
changing climate would be felt for decades to come.
How Will Manatees Be Affected?
While some have suggested that increased ocean surface temperatures
associated with climate change may benefit manatees, this view fails to
recognize how the species may be affected by countless other consequences
associated with climate change, including sea level rise, changes in
seagrass abundance and location, and loss of funding as agencies shift
resources away from individual species in an attempt to confront climate
change. Manatees are part of an interconnected aquatic ecosystem and are
affected by the health of the plants and animals that share this and the
surrounding terrestrial ecosystems. As humans adapt to climate change, it is
likely that other species, including manatees, will be adversely affected.
Manatees, as herbivores, rely on seagrass as a primary food source. Seagrass
grows in shallow, relatively clear water. However, as sea level rises and is
accompanied by increased turbidity and other impacts to water quality,
seagrasses will likely be negatively impacted. Over time, seagrass beds may
become reestablished, but major shifts in seagrass distribution and
abundance could threaten Florida’s manatees, along with the many species of
fish and invertebrates that also inhabit seagrass beds. With sea level rise,
coastal habitats will also be threatened by “armoring,” as coastal towns and
cities build seawalls and levees to deflect rising waters. Such human-made
structures can be detrimental to benthic (water-body floor) habitats,
including seagrass beds.
As coastal habitats shift, manatees and boats may find themselves traversing
new travel corridors that are not protected by manatee speed zones.
Additionally, with a changing climate, manatees may extend their range
farther north along the Atlantic Coast and west along the Gulf Coast. These
adjacent states currently lack well defined manatee speed zones, and
residents are not accustomed to sharing the waterways with manatees.
Manatees will face increased risk if they inhabit waters that lack
safeguards for their protection.
The frequency, intensity, and even composition of storms, such as
hurricanes, will change with increasing land and ocean temperatures.
Manatees may be killed, displaced, or suffer delayed effects to health and
reproduction due to ecosystem changes resulting from intense storms. The
magnitude of impact varies with the destructiveness of the storm, the
density of manatees in the area, the number of storms within a season, or
concurrence with other mortality factors. Storm surge, in addition to rising
sea levels, may cause saltwater intrusion in certain freshwater aquifers and
other coastal waters that currently provide sources of freshwater vegetation
and drinking for manatees. Manatees will need to adapt to such changes in
order to survive. More intense rainfall and inundation events may result in
more frequent red tide events, which are fueled by fertilizer runoff into
coastal waters. Red tide is caused by a population explosion, or bloom, of a
single-celled marine organism called a dinoflagellate, which produces a
neurotoxin that can be fatal to manatees and other marine life. Such events
can be fatal to large numbers of manatees.
Perhaps the most challenging obstacle that manatees will face with a changing climate is a lack of financial resources dedicated to the protection of this species. As human priorities shift to disaster reduction, concern for wildlife may decrease, and agency funding may shift away from individual species.
Manatee Lesley...
What Can Be Done?
In order to protect manatees and Florida’s future, we must restrain our GHG emissions, stop building and rebuilding in Florida’s coastal high-hazard area, and educate ourselves about the potential impact of climate change on both our generation and future generations. Forests and wetlands must be protected because they act as carbon sinks, removing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere and helping to diminish greenhouse gas emissions. Healthy wetlands also help prevent coastal flooding, filter pollutants, and protect our shorelines from erosion. We need to invest in the health of our ecosystems because healthier systems will be more resilient against a changing climate. Every proactive step we take will help safeguard the future for manatees and ourselves.