Ashley Braun,
TheGreanvillePost.com
September 2017
Originally published on DeSmogBlog
The world is already feeling the impacts of a changing climate after becoming, on average, just 1.8°F (1°C) warmer than before we started burning massive quantities of coal, oil, and gas. With our already slim chances of avoiding “dangerous” global warming, the science suggests we can’t afford to leave food and farming off the negotiating table.
Beef cattle in an Oklahoma feedlot. Credit: Alice Welch, U.S. Department
of Agriculture, public domain
Environmental groups place a lot of attention on trying to stop new oil, gas, and coal development since current fossil fuel projects would likely already blow us past the less-than 2°C upper limit for warming laid out in the 2015 Paris Climate Agreement. In fact, there’s a whole movement, known as “Keep It in the Ground,” predicated on this idea.
But when faced with a resurgence of support for fossil fuels from the White House, perhaps just as important is talking about how to “Keep It in the Cow,” according to some reports. Right now, experts predict agriculture is set to eat up half the greenhouse gas emissions the world can release by 2050 and still stay below 2°C (3.6°F) of warming.
That is, unless the world takes a big bite out of its meat consumption,
especially from cattle and other livestock that chew their cud, say
researchers at Chalmers University of Technology in Sweden. Raising these
ruminants produces a lot of methane, a much more potent but shorter-lived
greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide.
While “Meatless Mondays” is one approach to this problem, their studies show
that it’s not necessarily how much meat people eat that’s linked to the
climate impacts of their diet. Instead, it’s the amount of beef, lamb, and
dairy.
A 2017 Chalmers study concluded that: “A switch from diets rich in ruminant
meat to diets with meat from monogastric animals (pork, chicken) reduces
[methane] emissions by almost the same amount as a switch to an entirely
vegan diet.” Researchers at the University of Oxford in 2016 found similar
benefits, concluding that shifting to a vegetarian diet could lessen
greenhouse gas emissions by two-thirds.
(If you want to eat vegan, of course, that’s also an option. In addition,
eggs and dairy each have about half the climate impact of eating chicken and
beef.)
It’s worth noting that many of these studies don’t take into account the
land-use changes that come with supporting different diets. However, the
United Nations (UN) Food and Agriculture Organization estimates that about
70 percent of Amazon forest has been converted to pasture for livestock, and
the Chalmers researchers note swapping in beans for bovine burgers likely
wouldn’t drive an increase in cropland.
Agriculture at UN Climate Talks
Of course, changing what’s on your plate is only one way to cut your
diet’s climate impact (though for the U.S., it’s one of the most immediate
and arguably easiest ways). Two other major approaches include making farms
more productive (though livestock plays a big role here too) and using
climate change-mitigating techniques such as planting cover crops that store
carbon in the soil.
In addition, the UN climate talks are increasingly bringing agriculture into
discussions about reducing greenhouse gas emissions. For example, the 2016
climate talks in Marrakech, Morocco, saw at least 80 sessions touching on
agriculture.
This hasn’t always been the case.
“Agriculture has really lagged,” Craig Hanson, director of the food,
forests, and water program at the World Resources Institute, told
InsideClimate News. “[I]t’s surprising it’s taken so long … But it’s finally
happening.”
Furthermore, in 2014 the UN launched the Global Alliance for Climate-Smart
Agriculture. However, its efforts appear more focused on helping farmers
with productivity and resilience in the face of climate change, while
reducing farming’s greenhouse gas contributions comes with the caveat “when
possible.”
How much this year’s climate talks in Bonn, Germany, will touch on
agriculture remains to be seen.
Global Health Down on the Farm
Industrial livestock production, or factory farming, has also been called
out specifically for both its climate and public health consequences. In
May, about 200 experts in fields ranging from medicine to climate research
published an open letter asking that the next leader of the World Health
Organization (WHO) tackle the global health effects of climate change.
The letter states: “Although many previous attempts to tackle factory
farming have been largely framed around animal welfare or environmental
concerns, we believe that limiting the size and adverse practices of factory
farming is also central to improving global health.”
In addition to climate change, it goes on to list antibiotic resistance and
the rise of obesity and non-infectious diseases (e.g., diabetes) among the
harmful fallout of factory farming. The letter continues:
“Climate change does not recognize borders and neither do drug-resistant
infectious diseases. Although they contribute least to the global burden of
animal farming, the world’s poorest countries are also the most vulnerable
to rising water levels, natural disasters caused by climate change, food
insecurity, and infectious diseases.”
Encouragingly, the WHO’s new director-general, Dr. Tedros Adhanom
Ghebreyesus, lists addressing the health impacts of climate and
environmental change as one of his priorities.
Of course, this issue has been on the radar of the WHO for a while. First
published in 2000, the agency updated its assessment of climate change’s
health impacts in 2014. This latest version found that “climate change is
expected to cause approximately 250,000 additional deaths per year between
2030 and 2050.” The organization cites childhood malnutrition, malaria,
diarrhea (from lack of safe water), and heat exposure as the primary causes
of those deaths. However, it likely underestimates the full health impacts
from climate change.
In addition, switching how your meat is produced doesn’t necessarily address
its climate footprint. Environmental economist Fredrik Hedenus of Chalmers
University authored several of the studies on beef and dairy’s climate
contributions mentioned earlier. He says that producing the same level of
meat by “grazing animals [is] not better from a climate perspective compared
to intensive factory farming. On the other hand, without factory farming the
high level of consumption would not be possible.”
The world is already feeling the impacts of a changing climate after
becoming, on average, just 1.8°F (1°C) warmer than before we started burning
massive quantities of coal, oil, and gas. With our already slim chances of
avoiding “dangerous” global warming, the science suggests we can’t afford to
leave food and farming off the negotiating table.
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