The meat and dairy industries have colluded to dilute or even bury scientific assessments recommending plant-based diets.
Last month, the world’s leading body of climate scientists, the United
Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), published the
fourth and final installment of a rigorous multi-year assessment that marks
their most dire and urgent climate analysis to date. The report synthesizes
scientists’ key findings, predictions, and recommendations for the best ways
to reduce global heating and prevent the worst impacts of climate change.
In the assessment’s
third installment, published in 2022, the scientists urged a
switch to plant-based diets as the single most important shift we as
individuals can make to halt the course of climate disasters.
In the 35 years since the United Nations first convened the body of global
climate experts, this was the first time an IPCC report focused on the
importance of demand-side mitigation potential; that is, the crucial role
individual choices can play in urgently needed emissions reductions. They
grouped these choices into three categories of action: Avoid, Improve,
and Shift.
The report noted, “The greatest Avoid potential comes from reducing
long-haul aviation and providing short-distance low-carbon urban
infrastructures,” while “The greatest Improve potential comes from
within the building sector, in particular increased use of energy-efficient
end-use technologies and passive housing.” And “The greatest Shift
potential would come from switching to plant-based diets.”
The UN convened the IPCC in 1988, and this is the sixth climate assessment
report the group of climate scientists has released. Analyzing the frequency
and intensity of climate-driven disasters around the globe, the
recommendations of each report have become more urgent, as both documented
and projected impacts become increasingly dire. In a 2018 report, the IPCC
sounded the alarm that global greenhouse gas emissions must be halved by
2030 from 2010 levels in order to have any real shot at limiting warming to
1.5C. Beyond that threshold, scientists warn, Earth’s natural systems and
ecosystems will be irreversibly altered, with weather extremes and climate
catastrophes surpassing our (and many other) species’ ability to adapt.
Without swift and substantial emissions reductions in this decade, heat
waves, famines, floods, droughts, and infectious diseases stemming from
warming will likely claim millions of additional lives by the end of the
century. Yet emissions have only continued to rise.
Meat and Dairy Bury Science, Earth With It
As the science on climate and diet has become unequivocal— specifically, the
outsized contribution of animal farming to global emissions— the meat and
dairy industries have colluded to dilute or even bury scientific assessments
recommending plant-based diets.
While the
third installment of the IPCC’s latest assessment was clear in
urging a shift to plant-based diets, in the final synthesis report released
last month, the scientists’ language had been watered down. A leaked version
of the original report draft includes the following text:
A shift to diets with a higher share of plant-based protein in regions
with excess consumption of calories and animal-source food can lead to
substantial reductions in GHG emissions… Plant-based diets can reduce GHG
emissions by up to 50% compared to the average emission intensive Western
diet.
But after the scientists released the draft for review, delegates (not
scientists) from Argentina and Brazil, two of the largest beef producers
after the U.S., aggressively lobbied for the deletion of “plant-based,” and
the above was changed to:
“Balanced and sustainable healthy diets and reduced food loss and waste
present important opportunities for adaptation and mitigation while
generating significant co-benefits in terms of biodiversity and human
health.”
Corrupt interventions like these are particularly galling when we consider
that cattle ranching is the leading driver of destruction of the Amazon
rainforest, responsible for 80% of deforestation there. Meanwhile, the
International Labor Organisation and the Inter-American Development Bank
have estimated that a transition to a more plant-based food system would
create 15 million jobs in Latin America and the Caribbean by 2030.t